Just the Facts
In this new regular e-news slot, we will go through our stats archives to help address specific questions that you have.
This weeks question came through the Counsellors Forum:
"It seems to be harder to get a student visa from Russia than it used to be. What do the numbers look like?"
“The student permit application approvals and declines for full fee paying Russian students can be found HERE.
In summary, the decline rate for Russian student applications is very low, and has shown no particular trend up or down over the past 7 years. For the 05/06 year, the overall decline rate was 2.4%, and the offshore applicants decline rate was 5.8%. So it doesn't appear that decline rates have risen.
We next looked at the annual number of applications - if applications have gone down it may mean that potential applicants have not bothered to apply, perhaps because they perceive the process as difficult or unlikely to be successful. However, for the last 7 years there has been a modest but continuous rise in the number of applicants, and whilst the rate of offshore applications has not risen strongly in the last few years, it hasn't fallen either.
How many of these are first time applicants? The tabbed data indicates that the number of first time fee paying students rose steadily to 02/03, blipped down in 03/04, and rose again in 05/06. Whilst the market is not accelerating, it isn't declining.
Finally, we can track how many Russians with student visas/permits have stayed on to live and work in New Zealand. Over the last 10 years, 21.5% of all Russian students have transitioned to a work visa (this includes non fee-paying Russian students, who may transition at a higher rate - in addition to the 1,333 new fee paying students in that time there were an additional 287 non fee paying students). 32.3% have gone on to residency, although this may include those that first worked and then transitioned from that status. Similarly, we would expect a higher proportion of non fee paying students to transition to residency, as they may for example have been children of long term workers etc.
In conclusion, the data does not support the contention that it is harder to get a visa/permit from Russia".
If you want to find some stats to help with specific market queries, send your question through to stuart.boag@educationnz.org.nz
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